Jack Devine, a former senior CIA official, recently advanced this thesis in the British tabloid The Sun. Devine suggests that we may be in the last days of the Russian czar Vladimir Putin and that those who could stop Putin are key figures in the corridors of the Kremlin.
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Jack Devine’s analysis
Devine, with 32 years of experience at the CIA, stated that “Putin could disappear tomorrow and I would not be surprised.”
The former official argues that this could be caused by the actions of Russian power figures dissatisfied with the disappointing progress of the war in Ukraine and ready to take action.
These events could manifest themselves in the form of a “palace coup” rather than a popular uprising, according to Devine, who predicts an “almost permanent stalemate” in military operations against Kiev in the coming year.
The context of the conflict in Ukraine
Many commentators believe that Putin has sealed his fate by deciding to attack Ukraine, causing massive loss of life and resources.
Cities such as Avdiivka and Bakhmut have become symbols of a trench conflict in which Russia, with a numerically superior population, mobilizes hundreds of thousands of soldiers.
However, Devine predicts that this reckless gamble, conducted “at any cost” at Putin’s behest, will become increasingly unpopular, with neither side able to claim victory.
Warnings and future prospects
Despite the prospects of possible regime change, Devine warns about the joint initiatives of China, Iran, and Russia, which appear to be trying to form an unexpected alliance.
Citing Hamas’ attack on Israel as an example, Devine argues that Moscow is exploiting such dynamics. While acknowledging that Putin’s expansionist abilities are currently psychological and political, Devine suggests that the Russian president is making progress outside of Europe.
These analyses add to gloomier scenarios previously announced by experts such as Anthony Glees. Who has called Putin “a dead man walking.” Or Alexander Motyl, who predicts a possible regime collapse.
However, it is essential to note that such outlooks are speculation, unsupported by concrete evidence. The complexity of the Russian political situation requires accurate assessments based on verifiable information. At present, the possibility of a change in Putin’s regime remains in the realm of speculation.
Read also: Putin’s war: what are the real and alleged targets of the Russian invasion of Ukraine
